Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.906755 2.185366 2.481648 2.819225 3.192215 3.590757 4.047805
2025-01-26 1.418564 1.807388 2.254836 2.803224 3.452364 4.191362 5.091091
2025-02-02 1.106467 1.553223 2.105007 2.825239 3.728248 4.810303 6.191102
2025-02-09 0.870476 1.338524 1.955510 2.807370 3.929896 5.334360 7.197323
2025-02-16 0.686142 1.151969 1.805019 2.754349 4.062188 5.761406 8.091333
2025-02-23 0.569776 1.036677 1.728433 2.780347 4.285575 6.303979 9.148154
2025-03-02 0.463379 0.914661 1.621089 2.743296 4.408082 6.707216 10.029380
2025-03-09 0.394278 0.838635 1.569554 2.776184 4.622794 7.237691 11.096554
2025-03-16 0.329493 0.756884 1.496046 2.763623 4.763112 7.663267 12.029392
2025-03-23 0.297304 0.728233 1.504837 2.878054 5.096736 8.375813 13.389327
2025-03-30 0.265862 0.694760 1.499958 2.966928 5.392394 9.041725 14.703366
2025-04-06 0.221180 0.624913 1.420512 2.921283 5.469133 9.381064 15.550472
2025-04-13 0.193080 0.586403 1.396426 2.972552 5.711266 9.990958 16.836431
2025-04-20 0.166880 0.546656 1.365061 3.008156 5.930093 10.576027 18.110703
2025-04-27 0.145281 0.512954 1.341032 3.054069 6.167611 11.199056 19.464083
2025-05-04 0.122320 0.469634 1.290650 3.044694 6.307520 11.670774 20.599337
2025-05-11 0.100017 0.421384 1.222030 2.992193 6.365995 12.010532 21.537491
2025-05-18 0.086343 0.394307 1.196567 3.021693 6.570456 12.593772 22.873729
2025-05-25 0.071034 0.356814 1.140707 2.982845 6.645816 12.963143 23.877979
2025-06-01 0.061657 0.336014 1.121799 3.018302 6.858600 13.567532 25.273294
2025-06-08 0.051574 0.308771 1.082218 3.005014 6.976998 14.013777 26.422547
2025-06-15 0.047863 0.305096 1.103716 3.127322 7.361085 14.928428 28.362361
2025-06-22 0.043520 0.297287 1.112894 3.222251 7.695566 15.766425 30.195562